dave: March 2020 Archives

Here we go again...

In early January 2020 in Hong Kong, we started getting an indication of something spreading in Wuhan, Hubei province, China. Within a few weeks, HK schools were on hiatus starting from the Chinese New Year holiday, and are still closed. This is a global pandemic now, and there are far better resources to track it than there were back during SARS.

During the early phases of this everyone referred to it as the 'Wuhan Coronavirus' because of the likely origins of it. Eventually the WHO gave it an official name: the virus is SAR2-nCoV, and the resulting Disease is COronaVIrus Disease 2019, or COVID 19.

Some external visualisations:

• University of Washington (Best and most up to date, I think)
• Johns Hopkins University.
• WHO map
• World O'Meters
• HK CHP

Here are some of my visualisations, made from the sources listed above. They're updated automatically, usually around once per day, as the new data comes in. (Note that I'm not forecasting here. This is the observed data, not a prediction. This is scary enough as it is without extrapolating. I'll leave the forecasting to actual epidemiologists)

In the style of the @jburnmurdoch plots, you've probably seen before...

Confirmed Cases since reporting started. Big shoutout to Macau here - they shut down hard right at the start.

Confirmed Deaths since reporting started.

*TAP* *TAP* *TAP*

Is this thing still on?

Apparently? Anyway, now served over https thanks to Let's Encrypt and CertBot.

(This website is now nearly 20 years old, and the blogs been going (for certain values of going) since 1996 or so.